πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈUnited States

Persistent Freight Recession & Rate Compression

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Definition

The trucking industry has been in sustained freight recession since COVID-19, characterized by soft pricing and reduced freight demand. Freight rates have fallen below the cost of legal operation for compliant carriers. Brokers now control approximately 1/3 of all loads and routinely award them to the lowest bidder, pushing spot rates into unprofitable territory. Small operators face particular pressure because they lack negotiating leverage with large brokers and have thinner margins than mega-carriers. This creates a margin squeeze where revenue per mile declines while fixed operating costs remain constant, forcing fleet consolidation, service shifts, and bankruptcies among SMBs.

Key Findings

  • Financial Impact: $80,000-$400,000 per 10-truck fleet (estimated 15-25% margin erosion)
  • Frequency: daily

Why This Matters

Dynamic pricing software, freight matching platform, broker bypass technology, fleet cooperative purchasing, predictive load analytics

Affected Stakeholders

Owner/Fleet Manager, Operations/Dispatch Manager

Deep Analysis (Premium)

Financial Impact

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Current Workarounds

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Methodology & Sources

Data collected via OSINT from regulatory filings, industry audits, and verified case studies.

Evidence Sources:

Related Business Risks

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